Being Stupid and Betting Against John Carmack
Please note that all opinions are that of the author.
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Last Updated On: 2025-10-13 07:27:40 -0400
I’m going to do a risky thing here and bet against someone who is lauded as the best programmer in the world – John Carmack. In a recent AND OUTSTANDINGLY EXCELLENT YouTube interview with Lex Fridman, John Carmack made two predictions:
- General purpose AI by 2030.
- Self driving cars up to the Level 5 standard by 2030.
The 90 / 10 Rule
My reason for betting against the best programmer in the world is my experience as a software engineer and what is often known as the 90/10
When Did AI Start?
when john mccarthy wrote lisp
When Did Self Driving Cars Start?
darpa challenge